Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.481885 3.696449 3.925938 4.191171 4.491236 4.822582 5.219554
2025-03-16 3.042856 3.311054 3.611746 3.978257 4.419293 4.941733 5.621768
2025-03-23 2.801505 3.113227 3.477350 3.943189 4.537874 5.294452 6.372871
2025-03-30 2.586410 2.923057 3.329684 3.871704 4.600936 5.593147 7.144134
2025-04-06 2.390991 2.738558 3.169844 3.764686 4.602168 5.813635 7.887182
2025-04-13 2.207335 2.553786 2.992611 3.614221 4.522132 5.905380 8.476387
2025-04-20 2.115717 2.478710 2.950558 3.642441 4.703973 6.443861 10.113258
2025-04-27 2.039630 2.417578 2.920988 3.684238 4.914743 7.095437 12.443968
2025-05-04 1.989885 2.387296 2.930361 3.784036 5.239417 8.073760 16.655459
2025-05-11 1.924280 2.330369 2.896582 3.813011 5.450599 8.923460 22.115990
2025-05-18 1.851997 2.259255 2.836137 3.791938 5.567794 9.628325 29.282379
2025-05-25 1.757589 2.151617 2.714040 3.656642 5.442601 9.690982 33.571281
2025-06-01 1.683994 2.075432 2.642449 3.614328 5.529361 10.479406 51.624199
2025-06-08 1.598429 1.977871 2.532380 3.495870 5.441287 10.752292 73.445783
2025-06-15 1.548594 1.929820 2.495763 3.503696 5.633413 12.113363 310.976595
2025-06-22 1.494646 1.872858 2.441271 3.473701 5.738255 13.328709 NaN
2025-06-29 1.437565 1.808431 2.370758 3.406894 5.744076 14.210893 NaN
2025-07-06 1.376339 1.735116 2.281746 3.296944 5.623077 14.444126 NaN
2025-07-13 1.347885 1.709936 2.269466 3.333429 5.891190 17.177149 NaN
2025-07-20 1.322978 1.688800 2.262248 3.379176 6.204178 21.179398 NaN
2025-07-27 1.307626 1.681469 2.277481 3.472705 6.697361 29.349515 NaN
2025-08-03 1.282974 1.658301 2.263898 3.504279 7.018576 39.279894 NaN
2025-08-10 1.253141 1.625573 2.231576 3.491582 7.192323 50.535820 NaN